Prediction of Maja Chwalinska vs Martina Trevisan at LP Open by IND - Colina 11-18-25

• Maja Chwalinska has a stronger second serve, securing 43.67% of points, compared to Martina Trevisan's 35.16%. Could this advantage influence the match outcome? Potentially, yes, as it holds a strong correlation with match predictions.
• Regarding return game performance, Martina Trevisan shines in winning 52.49% of opponents' second serve points, while Chwalinska stands at 47.07%. Will this be the deciding factor? Possibly, given its high predictive value.
• When dealing with pressure situations, Chwalinska has a slight edge with a 45.19% breakpoint save rate against Trevisan's 44.26%. This slight difference could be crucial in tight moments.
• In terms of overall performance over the past year, Chwalinska boasts a win rate of 61.22% whereas Trevisan has managed only 25.00%. Does this suggest a favorite for this encounter? Likely, yes.
• Both players excel on clay with a 70% win rate, yet Trevisan struggles on grass with only an 8% win rate, a notable weakness compared to Chwalinska's 54%.
• On the Challenger/ITF circuit over the past year, Chwalinska won 68.75% of her matches, whilst Trevisan only secured 33.33%. Could this disparity indicate a disparity in readiness? It might be so.
• Chwalinska has played against higher-ranked opponents (average rank 189.76) compared to Trevisan's opponents (average rank 387.17), suggesting more challenging competition.
• In deciding sets over the last year, Chwalinska has a winning rate of 56%, surpassing Trevisan's 50%. In tight matches, this could hint at better resilience from Chwalinska.
• Both players show potential in break point conversion, with Trevisan at 45.56% slightly outperforming Chwalinska's 41.73%. This may prove critical in pivotal game moments.

Editorial Prediction (November 17, 2025, UTC):

Maja Chwalinska and Martina Trevisan both enter this match with commendable strengths, yet various metrics tilt the balance in favor of Chwalinska. Her second serve success, coupled with her higher competitive match win rate over the year, provides her with a significant edge.

Chwalinska's ability to perform under pressure, illustrated by her breakpoint save rate, along with her superior encounter stats against higher-ranked opponents, further solidifies her prospects in this matchup.

While Trevisan exhibits strong return game statistics, particularly on the second serve, and a slightly better break point conversion, Chwalinska's overall performance trends suggest she is more likely to seize victory.

Considering all factors, Maja Chwalinska emerges as the likely winner of this upcoming tennis match against Martina Trevisan.